Polymarket Trader

Ondra

0x849ccb5907938ce8be18ed5dbf583288e2da4009

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $62.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $141.32K
Potential profit: $141.32K
User PnL: -$341.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.81K
Potential profit: $121.81K
User PnL: -$2.55K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.2K
Potential profit: $108.2K
User PnL: -$108.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.27K
Potential profit: $95.27K
User PnL: -$5.63K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.71K
Potential profit: $83.71K
User PnL: -$84.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.08K
Potential profit: $83.08K
User PnL: -$2.28K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.75K
Potential profit: $68.75K
User PnL: -$372.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.41K
Potential profit: $68.41K
User PnL: -$581.64

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.01K
Potential profit: $68.01K
User PnL: -$278.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.32K
Potential profit: $64.32K
User PnL: -$142.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.98K
Potential profit: $62.98K
User PnL: -$191.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.78K
Potential profit: $62.78K
User PnL: -$167.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.04K
Potential profit: $61.04K
User PnL: -$407.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.24K
Potential profit: $57.24K
User PnL: -$534.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.61K
Potential profit: $54.61K
User PnL: -$214.61

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.38K
Potential profit: $51.38K
User PnL: -$1.34K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.03K
Potential profit: $48.03K
User PnL: -$276.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.95K
Potential profit: $47.95K
User PnL: -$403.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.94K
Potential profit: $45.94K
User PnL: -$207.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.3K
Potential profit: $43.3K
User PnL: -$493

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.59K
Potential profit: $42.59K
User PnL: -$766

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.35K
Potential profit: $42.35K
User PnL: -$669.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.76K
Potential profit: $41.76K
User PnL: -$546.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.75K
Potential profit: $39.75K
User PnL: -$465.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.73K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.12K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.37K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.72K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.14K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.01K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.95K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.89K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.69K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 6.5% 117.73 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Yes 9% 11 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Yes 6% 150 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 6% 72 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 1.8% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 94.8% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 6.4% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 15% 17 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Yes 5.4% 273.53 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 9% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 1.5% 34.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Yes 0.7% 10 shares