Polymarket Trader

thisjustdoesntfeelright

0x84a24e7950deda2f8a7fd8d53b71008ff26ac7cf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.91
Realized PnL: $132.71
Win rate: 63.2%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $2.33
Potential payout: $581.55
Potential profit: $579.23
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$4.63

No position

Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $486.36
Potential profit: $486.36
User PnL: -$4.86

No position

Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.27
Potential profit: $97.27
User PnL: -$4.86

Yes position

Will the DHS shutdown end before April 1, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.99
Potential profit: $86.99
User PnL: -$1.27

Yes position

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $84.12
Potential profit: $84.04
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$2.44

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.95
Potential profit: $68.95
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Will the DHS shutdown end between February 28-March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.65
Potential profit: $62.65
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $61.02
Potential profit: $60.75
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$2.17

Yes position

Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.58
Potential profit: $57.58
User PnL: -$2.3

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $54.95
Potential profit: $53.96
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: -$2.31

Yes position

Will the US strike Yemen next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.25
Potential profit: $47.25
User PnL: -$0.47

Yes position

Will RBC fail by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $1.36
Potential payout: $46.86
Potential profit: $45.5
Multiplier: 34.48x
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on or prior to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.7
Potential profit: $46.7
User PnL: -$0.47

Yes position

Trump out as President by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.38
Potential profit: $46.38
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Will the US strike another country first?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.25
Potential profit: $42.25
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will Iran strike no countries in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.64
Potential profit: $41.64
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.64
Potential profit: $41.64
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.81
Potential profit: $40.81
User PnL: -$0.41

Yes position

Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.78
Potential profit: $34.78
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.78
Potential profit: $34.78
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will John Ratcliffe be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.61
Potential profit: $30.61
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $30.56
Potential profit: $30.39
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$2.58

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $30.36
Potential profit: $30.04
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$3.93

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $28.03
Potential profit: $27.64
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$0.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.09

Yes position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.32

Yes position

Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.32

Yes position

Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.12

Yes position

Critical Discord Incident by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.95

Yes position

Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44

Yes position

Will 54 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35

Yes position

Russia coup attempt in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $1.04

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.95

Yes position

Will the US strike Yemen next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.84

Yes position

Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will KeyBank fail by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will BNY fail by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk Testify to Congress about Epstein?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will 49 or fewer senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will Citigroup fail by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: -$1.36

Yes position

Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$2.05

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: -$2.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in June?

Yes 7% 2.5 shares
Will Citigroup fail by end of 2026?

Yes 0.9% 33.25 shares
Will Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro in June?

Yes 0.3% 122.03 shares
Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?

Yes 1.2% 32.86 shares
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

Yes 91.7% 54.95 shares
Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 97.9% 30.77 shares
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?

Yes 9.3% 0.28 shares
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?

Yes 9.3% 0.36 shares
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?

Yes 7.6% 0.44 shares
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?

Yes 7.1% 0.56 shares
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?

Yes 13% 0.69 shares
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?

Yes 12% 0.87 shares