Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1.38K
- Potential payout
- $14.62K
- Potential profit
- $13.24K
- Multiplier
- 10.58x
- User PnL
- $481.26
Polymarket Trader
ScipioValue
0x84a4852966b8986400ff834a8c049f76adc18cb2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.86K
- Realized PnL
- -$3.67
- Win rate
- 52.6%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $757.85
- Potential payout
- $14.17K
- Potential profit
- $13.41K
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- $191.23
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $1.09K
- Potential payout
- $4.26K
- Potential profit
- $3.17K
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $144.81
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $63.12
- Potential payout
- $2.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.97K
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- -$43.05
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $1.01K
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $131.43
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $211.43
Yes position
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $59.39
- Potential payout
- $913.64
- Potential profit
- $854.25
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$40.61
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.4%
- Current value
- $505.38
- Potential payout
- $636.5
- Potential profit
- $131.12
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $355.38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $480.07
No position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $240.81
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.06
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.69
Yes position
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.69
No position
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75%
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $5.88
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.73
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Multiplier
- 27.03x
- User PnL
- -$11.55
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$24.6
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$66.81
Yes position
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$78.87
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$80.79
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$190.77
No position
James Comey arrested by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$234.89
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$301.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 5.5% 702.85 shares
- Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 5.7% 2,036.05 shares
- Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Yes 95.9% 718.7 shares
- Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Yes 13.1% 337.16 shares
- Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Yes 27.8% 718.7 shares
- James Comey arrested by May 15?No 5.9% 1,110.65 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 49.1% 636.49 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No 72% 553.22 shares
- James Comey arrested by May 15?No 27% 1,110.66 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No 67% 1,343.28 shares
- Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 28% 568.14 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?No 10% 1,125.82 shares