Polymarket Trader

0x84aAB0Fb48d5caFdFAB761EEd6A5B319aF9c44E8-1779619728437

0x84aab0fb48d5cafdfab761eed6a5b319af9c44e8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $48.3
Realized PnL: $69.64
Win rate: 81.8%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $2.54
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $97.46
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $5.62
Potential payout: $96.15
Potential profit: $90.53
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $7.08
Potential payout: $60.24
Potential profit: $53.16
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $2.08

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.07
Potential profit: $47.07
User PnL: -$24.16

Yes position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $2.45
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $43
Multiplier: 18.52x
User PnL: -$2.55

Yes position

Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.03
Potential profit: $29.03
User PnL: -$9.87

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $5.21
Potential payout: $28.25
Potential profit: $23.04
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $7.78
Potential payout: $26.83
Potential profit: $19.05
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: -$3.22

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $8.11
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $14.11
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$1.89

B8 position

Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.81
Potential profit: $18.81
User PnL: -$9.03

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.95
Potential profit: $16.95
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $9.21
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $5.07
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$0.79

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.42
Potential profit: $10.42
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.26
Potential profit: $9.26
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.93
Potential profit: $8.93
User PnL: -$5

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.47
Potential profit: $8.47
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.9%
Current value: $0.29
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $3.88
Multiplier: 14.60x
User PnL: -$0.71

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.42

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.22

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.79

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.72

BIG position

Counter-Strike: BIG vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $0.1

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Over position

France vs. Senegal: France O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals

Yes 56% 8.93 shares
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 1.5

Over 63% 28.57 shares
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 57.1% 102.01 shares
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 45% 22.22 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Yes 70% 14.29 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 48% 10.42 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 59% 16.95 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Yes 54% 9.26 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

FURIA 59% 1.69 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?

No 95.2% 21.2 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?

No 49% 21.2 shares
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?

Yes 34% 29.03 shares