Yes position
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
Ends Jan 3, 2027- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $266.93
- Potential payout
- $346.66
- Potential profit
- $79.73
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $20.8
Polymarket Trader
jkenfra
0x84acfcf8d6cf4233a041cb1552dc670c39799d0e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $266.93
- Realized PnL
- -$214.86
- Win rate
- 54.5%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
76ers position
Pistons vs. 76ers
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $141.46
- Potential profit
- $141.46
- User PnL
- -$43.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Magic
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.07
Magic position
Suns vs. Magic
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.59
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.5
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.16
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51
Clippers position
Clippers vs. Pacers
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$31.6
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$41.4
Pacers position
Clippers vs. Pacers
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$95
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$149.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Pistons vs. 76ers76ers 31% 141.46 shares
- Pistons vs. 76ers76ers 33% 111.95 shares
- Suns vs. MagicMagic 54% 37.7 shares
- Clippers vs. PacersClippers 92% 20.64 shares
- Clippers vs. PacersPacers 9% 211 shares
- Clippers vs. PacersPacers 54% 211.09 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes 11% 1,035.12 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes 15% 1,035.12 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes 34% 408.54 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 76% 19.69 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 76% 149.69 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 1.4% 7.66 shares