No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $5.1
Polymarket Trader
vabdj
0x84afb653b4002c9ec186edb898b706fab3e9e455
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $42.97
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.73
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.34
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
No position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 93%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $2.25
No position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $5.1
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.73
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.34
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
No position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 93%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $2.25
No position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84
No position
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75
No position
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 28?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18
No position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.15
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
No position
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Trump out as President by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 84.7% 448.93 shares
- Will Solana dip to $40 in February?No 99.9% 343 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes 0.9% 38.92 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No 98.8% 349.06 shares
- Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No 99.4% 46.67 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No 98.7% 340 shares