Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $10.18
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $44.83
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$5.77
Polymarket Trader
NeLiKeR
@a9331200
0x84bdd2352c64ea20a3fb654af223610cb66b66c7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $44.6
- Realized PnL
- $326.66
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.7%
- Current value
- $16.88
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $38.11
- Multiplier
- 3.26x
- User PnL
- -$2.03
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $6.13
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $43.88
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- -$2.47
Yes position
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.37
- Potential payout
- $49
- Potential profit
- $48.63
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $46
- Potential profit
- $44.94
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.62
- Potential payout
- $42.98
- Potential profit
- $42.36
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $4.2
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $30.8
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.05
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $35
- User PnL
- -$34.27
Yes position
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $35
- User PnL
- -$17.85
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.4%
- Current value
- $4.7
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $18.3
- Multiplier
- 4.89x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $14
- User PnL
- -$5.46
Yes position
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $0.46
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $10.54
- Multiplier
- 23.81x
- User PnL
- -$2.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $65.96
Yes position
New Pope in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.75
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.25
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.33
No position
OpenSea token announcement in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.62
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.42
No position
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Japan before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.38
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
No position
Will Xtreme Gaming win The International 2025 Tournament?
Ends Sep 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.27
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday?
Ends May 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.84
No position
Will Lee Jun-seok win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.96
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.93
Yes position
Will Edi Rama be the next Prime Minister of Albania after the 2025 election?
Ends May 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.7
Yes position
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49
Yes position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
U.S. enacts stablecoin bill in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.78
Yes position
Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?
Ends May 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94
No position
Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37
No position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No 86.2% 43 shares
- Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No 96.7% 50 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 17.2% 50 shares
- EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes 51% 35 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?100k 40% 20 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No 74% 25 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No 78% 25 shares
- Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No 93% 10.1 shares
- Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?No 39% 14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on November 15?Up 29% 8 shares
- SBF released from custody in 2025?No 97.3% 5 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?Yes 16% 25 shares