Polymarket Trader

Brokemaker

0x84c386331355f47057afca0c06c7211f4dbe35d4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.26K
Realized PnL: $4.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $6.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $993.5
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $999.09
Potential profit: $996.59
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$36.91

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $6.19
Potential payout: $344.13
Potential profit: $337.94
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: -$62.36

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $183
Potential payout: $217.98
Potential profit: $34.99
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $2.22

Yes position

Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $188.16
Potential profit: $187.5
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$2.85

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 25.9%
Current value: $42.65
Potential payout: $165
Potential profit: $122.35
Multiplier: 3.87x
User PnL: $29.94

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 83.3%
Current value: $132.95
Potential payout: $159.6
Potential profit: $26.65
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$18.34

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $65.99
Potential payout: $159
Potential profit: $93.02
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$4.8

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $143.38
Potential payout: $155
Potential profit: $11.63
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $39.6
Potential payout: $144
Potential profit: $104.4
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $20

Yes position

US strike on Mexico by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $27.28
Potential payout: $143.59
Potential profit: $116.31
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: $12.92

No position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $133.32
Potential payout: $142.66
Potential profit: $9.34
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.75

No position

Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $14.81
Potential payout: $141
Potential profit: $126.2
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$8.43

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $141
Potential profit: $139.87
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$11.62

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $118.44
Potential payout: $141
Potential profit: $22.56
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $5.03

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $27.34
Potential payout: $140.2
Potential profit: $112.86
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$48.47

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $137.93
Potential payout: $138
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $57.08

Yes position

Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $1.31
Potential payout: $138
Potential profit: $136.69
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$2.61

No position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $109.48
Potential payout: $136
Potential profit: $26.52
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$3.44

Yes position

Kash Patel out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $7.42
Potential payout: $134.82
Potential profit: $127.4
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$44

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $8.51
Potential payout: $132
Potential profit: $123.49
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: $1.59

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $16.06
Potential payout: $129
Potential profit: $112.94
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: -$54.26

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $4.47
Potential payout: $127.84
Potential profit: $123.37
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $24.62
Potential payout: $126.26
Potential profit: $101.64
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$20.65

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $592.01

No position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $354.2

Yes position

Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $325.81

Over position

Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260

Jakub Mensik position

Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $226.8

Juan Estevez position

Tucuman: Juan Estevez vs Matias Soto

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $226.29

Barbora Palicova position

Makarska: Petra Marcinko vs Barbora Palicova

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $220.72

No position

Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.83

Under position

Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $206.67

Over position

Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.8

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.24

Miami Marlins position

Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.2

Pablo Carreno Busta position

Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Busta

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.4

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.92

Over position

Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.08

Maja Chwalinska position

Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128

No position

Jordan vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.2

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.87

Henrique Rocha position

Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Charles Broom

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110

No position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.2

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.32

No position

Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.96

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.79

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.95

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

Yes 6.4% 15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 21?

No 86% 7 shares
Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

No 93% 0.14 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 21?

No 85% 21.36 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Yes 78% 5 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

No 40% 5 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 91% 10 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 91% 82 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 21?

No 85% 39 shares
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

No 94% 17 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 53% 30 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 20?

No 67% 20 shares