Yes position
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $127.5
- Potential payout
- $340
- Potential profit
- $212.5
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $8.5
Polymarket Trader
gardens
0x84c59284e81ac02fdd21ea179fa4450016e0413b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $127.5
- Realized PnL
- $8.63K
- Win rate
- 56.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.55K
No position
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 68.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $3.2K
No position
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1K
Yes position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $1.34K
Yes position
Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $243
Yes position
Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?
Ends Dec 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.77
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $20.65
Lakers position
Spurs vs. Lakers
Ends Mar 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.45
No position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $7
No position
Will the People's Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will Cale Makar win the Hart Trophy?
Ends Jun 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-10-09?
Ends Oct 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will "Moana 2" have a Tomatometer score of 60-69?
Ends Dec 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20.6
No position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$784.88
No position
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.09K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No 86% 35 shares
- Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 36.8% 20 shares
- Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?No 42% 28,800 shares
- Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?No 42% 25,300 shares
- Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 35% 24,300 shares
- Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 34% 24,122 shares
- Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 34% 22,822 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 74.9% 20,650 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 74.8% 20,650 shares
- Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No 66% 35 shares
- Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?No 36.6% 7,100 shares
- Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?No 35.3% 5,800 shares