Yes position
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $42
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $958
- Multiplier
- 23.81x
- User PnL
- -$30
Polymarket Trader
addicts
0x84d059c38f1a374a017e9167fa2b00c81e71ea2c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $470.16
- Realized PnL
- $4.43K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $103.5
- Potential payout
- $449.98
- Potential profit
- $346.49
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- -$78
No position
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLDE?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $257.34
- Potential payout
- $269.32
- Potential profit
- $11.98
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $13.67
Yes position
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $53.59
- Potential payout
- $96.56
- Potential profit
- $42.97
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $22.43
Yes position
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OPAI?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $13.74
- Potential payout
- $94.74
- Potential profit
- $81
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$9.86
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Israel strike Iran on Friday Oct 25?
Ends Oct 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $946.18
No position
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
Ends Oct 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $514.75
No position
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
Ends Oct 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $465
Yes position
No Israel strike Iran by Sunday Oct 20?
Ends Oct 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $253.58
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.57
No position
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
Ends Oct 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $203.3
Yes position
Will Trump say "missile defense shield" during California rally on October 12?
Ends Oct 12, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.5
Yes position
Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.38
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155
No position
Will Speed break the 24h backflip world record?
Ends Oct 9, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.93
Yes position
Pump.fun announces public raise sold out in the first hour?
Ends Jul 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.32
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 200-224 times?
Ends Sep 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.88
No position
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during Colorado rally on October 11?
Ends Oct 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116
No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.07
Chargers position
Eagles vs. Chargers
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.16
Yes position
Will the HBO documentary identify Nick Szabo as Satoshi?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $80.71
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $75.65
No position
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.95
Yes position
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.49
Yes position
Will Kamala say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.52
No position
Israel military response against Iran by Sunday?
Ends Oct 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.6
Yes position
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.26
No position
Trump posts 40 or more times on X?
Ends Aug 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.39
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLDE?No 90.5% 143.71 shares
- Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLDE?No 90.5% 20 shares
- Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLDE?No 90.5% 50 shares
- Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLDE?No 90.5% 50 shares
- Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLDE?No 89.2% 5.61 shares
- Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?Yes 35% 50 shares
- Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?Yes 30% 16.07 shares
- Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?Yes 29% 30.49 shares
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?No 92% 478.55 shares
- New pandemic in 2026?Yes 11% 782.05 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?Yes 96.7% 57 shares
- Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?No 37% 161.15 shares