No position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $1.23K
- Potential payout
- $1.42K
- Potential profit
- $184.34
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $67.56
Polymarket Trader
StephenWallace2948
@AriasDelai39227
0x84d641c85e56872d4b1b20fd349241093024bca9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.42K
- Realized PnL
- $2.84K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $176.6
- Potential payout
- $193
- Potential profit
- $16.41
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $14.47
Yes position
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 10.2%
- Current value
- $0.31
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $2.69
- Multiplier
- 9.81x
- User PnL
- -$2.41
No position
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 89.8%
- Current value
- $2.69
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $2.4
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $1
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $0.64
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $408.41
Yes position
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $296.73
Yes position
Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be between 75k and 100k?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $221.4
Eastern Illinois Panthers position
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.84
Yes position
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 20?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $164.22
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer say "Venezuela" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $152.46
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.4
Yes position
Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- $145.12
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 4 be between 1,700,000 and 1,900,000?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.84
Under position
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.26
Yes position
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 14?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.44
No position
Deel IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $91.56
Yes position
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $85.95
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 1, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.02
No position
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.94
Yes position
Will John Oliver say "DHS" or "ICE" on Last Week Tonight?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.22
Yes position
Will "Anxiety - Doechii" win Best Music Video at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.75
No position
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.02
Yes position
Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $52.49
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 6 be greater than 2,300,000?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.47
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $46.48
Yes position
Hyperliquid open interest flipped in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 17.2%
- Multiplier
- 5.83x
- User PnL
- $42.9
Yes position
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.3
No position
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026No 74% 107 shares
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No 84% 193 shares
- Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026No 78% 209 shares
- Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026No 88% 1,146 shares
- Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe win on 2026-04-18?No 9% 539 shares
- Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe win on 2026-04-18?No 10% 670 shares
- Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe win on 2026-04-18?No 9% 501 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No 68% 831 shares
- Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 30, 2026?No 8% 14 shares
- Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 30, 2026?No 7% 904 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No 68% 831 shares
- Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 30, 2026?No 13% 918 shares