Yes position
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $26.25
- Potential payout
- $149.99
- Potential profit
- $123.74
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $4.75
Polymarket Trader
veryheavyrain
0x84d7fdd1bb87d8f7484c8ce64334504c52fc8c5b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $249.78
- Realized PnL
- $470.06
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$24.43
Yes position
Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.65
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
TDK position
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85
- Potential profit
- $85
- User PnL
- -$32.5
Yes position
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $41.23
- Potential payout
- $85
- Potential profit
- $43.78
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $7.23
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $40.4
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $39.6
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$7.8
Yes position
Will Cuba recognize Israel by June 30
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.67
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $74.33
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Under position
France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65
- Potential profit
- $65
- User PnL
- -$29.95
No position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $16.07
- Potential payout
- $63
- Potential profit
- $46.94
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$27.27
Natus Vincere position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.99
- Potential profit
- $59.99
- User PnL
- -$28.6
Yes position
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $24.27
- Potential payout
- $51.1
- Potential profit
- $26.83
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$1.53
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$27
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $27.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $22.75
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$9.25
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $28.58
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $16.43
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $5.63
Astralis position
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $45
- User PnL
- -$21.3
PARIVISION position
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $45
- User PnL
- -$18.7
Legacy position
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $45
- User PnL
- -$28.9
Under position
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$23.2
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.3%
- Current value
- $27.72
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $12.28
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $7.32
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$28.8
No position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $17
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $23
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $0.6
New Zealand position
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $35
- User PnL
- -$26.32
Under position
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $35
- User PnL
- -$21.7
paiN position
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $35
- User PnL
- -$23.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.92
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.55
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.05
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.66
BetBoom Team position
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.2
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.6
Yes position
Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $22
Northamptonshire position
T20 Blast: Durham vs Northamptonshire
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.75
Natus Vincere position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.96
No position
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.57
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.6
Carlos Prates position
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.77
Spirit position
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.68
Yes position
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.05
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.71
Over position
Cruzeiro EC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.5
FUT Esports position
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.02
Royal Challengers Bengaluru position
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.83
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.41
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.3
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12
G2 position
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.4
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.34
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No 99.1% 39.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 18?No 92% 10 shares
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 WinnerBetBoom Team 22% 15 shares
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsBetBoom Team 9% 30 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 52% 25 shares
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 WinnerBetBoom Team 2% 24.98 shares
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 WinnerBetBoom Team 43% 8 shares
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 WinnerBetBoom Team 68% 24.99 shares
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsBetBoom Team 52% 30 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 18?No 77% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 18?No 19.8% 20 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 73% 50 shares