No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $17.5K
- Potential payout
- $18.71K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $93.57
Polymarket Trader
0x84DCc886d0aCd3D2B5232Fe3401Bc123f01A92cB-1772322661916
0x84dcc886d0acd3d2b5232fe3401bc123f01a92cb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.5K
- Realized PnL
- -$701.67
- Win rate
- 77.8%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.8K
- Potential profit
- $11.8K
- User PnL
- -$11.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Yes position
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $756.46
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $694.97
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $510.82
Yes position
Will Clavicular be the top ranked Chad by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $319.4
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $180
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $153.89
Yes position
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.6
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.46
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.19
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.97
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$28.09
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$767.94
Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.11K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 93% 18,713.97 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes 99.5% 16,892 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.1% 11,800 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes 99.7% 131 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes 99.7% 15,600 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Yes 14.1% 2,412.79 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Yes 59% 138.92 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Yes 48% 1,729.46 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Yes 45.6% 173.13 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Yes 44% 599.12 shares
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?Yes 92.9% 226 shares
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?Yes 88.9% 2,957.77 shares