No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $915.31
- Potential payout
- $2.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $97.43
Polymarket Trader
jconfusedpinetree
0x84dd457df4063f0a39581e36b94c513838708701
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $915.31
- Realized PnL
- $17.8K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
India military action against Pakistan before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7K
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47K
Yes position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?
Ends Oct 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83K
Yes position
Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by February 25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $993.8
No position
A$AP Rocky convicted of a felony?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $724.64
Yes position
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $605.15
Yes position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $593.7
No position
Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $553.74
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $533.21
No position
India air/missile strike on Pakistan soil by Friday?
Ends May 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $529.71
No position
Will Han Dong-hoon be the People's Power Party candidate for president?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $524.36
Israel position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $521.28
Yes position
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $502.18
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $480.46
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $410.95
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $410
Yes position
Will Ken Martin be the next DNC chair?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $408.51
Yes position
Canada election called before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $381.35
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $349.97
Yes position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $317.08
No position
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $315.61
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $312.55
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $252.93
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?No 40.7% 1,539.71 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?No 36.9% 509.04 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?No 38.8% 8.13 shares
- Will Trump endorse Ken Paxton for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?No 37.1% 499.63 shares
- Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Yes 56.8% 74.57 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?Yes 1.6% 251.48 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes 65.3% 549.22 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 70% 600 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes 71% 549.22 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 71% 600 shares
- Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Yes 94.7% 59.43 shares
- Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 11?Yes 68% 600 shares