Polymarket Trader

Alyosm

0x84e11b7e38e9177c811489152ff487af4f1f61d0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $193.84
Realized PnL: $11.33K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $88K
Potential profit: $88K
User PnL: -$262.33

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.78K
Potential profit: $10.78K
User PnL: -$330

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.16K
Potential profit: $5.16K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $95.87
Potential payout: $3.77K
Potential profit: $3.68K
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $25.88

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.09K
Potential profit: $3.09K
User PnL: -$27.99

Yes position

Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.36K
Potential profit: $2.36K
User PnL: -$66.8

Yes position

Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.99K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.71K
Potential profit: $1.71K
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $1.23K
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $66.78
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: -$13.21

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$113.8

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $6.43
Potential payout: $857.14
Potential profit: $850.71
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $655.46
Potential profit: $655.46
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $4.06
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $620.94
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $3.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $496.75
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.32
Potential profit: $399.32
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $2.44
Potential payout: $375.2
Potential profit: $372.76
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$17.56

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $344.83
Potential profit: $344.83
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $307.15
Potential profit: $307.15
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.33K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $607.69

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $476.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $449.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $354.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $315.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $285.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $279.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $276.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $226.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $220.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $206.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $184.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.44

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Up 99% 288.61 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Up 82% 121.95 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Up 60% 166.67 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 3.5% 571.43 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 3.5% 285.71 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 3.5% 285.71 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 3.5% 285.71 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 3.5% 285.71 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Down 42% 9.08 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Down 35% 50 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Down 40% 50 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.3% 158.73 shares