Polymarket Trader

OneBadBet

0x84f820558e744c1debe52f499a919c115c3b0ff2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $20.67K
Realized PnL: $20.8K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $2.35K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $146.25
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $12.25

No position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $1.96K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $537.5
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $47.51

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $2.48K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $21.25
User PnL: $95.25

No position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $1.99K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: $36.5

No position

Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.65K
Potential profit: $1.65K
User PnL: -$1.41K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.5K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $3.75
User PnL: $172.92

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $1.47K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $27.75
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $67.25

No position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $1.33K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $172.5
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $37.5

Yes position

Will the Charlotte Hornets win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $1.41K
User PnL: -$65.71

Blazers position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Trail Blazers

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.35K
User PnL: -$22.79

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.27K
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $3.17
User PnL: $32.94

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$12

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $995
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: $7

No position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $986.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $13.5
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $3.5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$6

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $995
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: $20

No position

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $984
Potential profit: $984
User PnL: -$97.64

No position

Epstein client list released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $894.46
Potential payout: $907.16
Potential profit: $12.7
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $11.97

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $677
Potential profit: $677
User PnL: -$234.87

No position

World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 95.3%
Current value: $625.94
Potential payout: $656.81
Potential profit: $30.87
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $1.1

No position

Kurds declare independence from Iran?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $623.37
Potential payout: $627.77
Potential profit: $4.39
User PnL: $65.98

No position

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $618.55
Potential payout: $624.79
Potential profit: $6.25
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $9.15

No position

Iran leadership change by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $593.78
Potential payout: $599.47
Potential profit: $5.7
User PnL: $79.09

Khamzat Chimaev position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $502.56
Potential profit: $502.56
User PnL: -$417.12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Biden issue more pardons than Trump?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.26K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be named in Epstein files?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $819.05

Yes position

Lily Phillips sex event cancelled?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $702.89

Yes position

Another commercial airline evacuation before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $694.06

No position

OKC breaks NBA single-season wins record?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $692.49

de Ridder position

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridder

Ends Jul 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $596

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $570.61

No position

Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $507.95

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $505.29

No position

Will a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $466.87

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $442.82

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $437.33

Yes position

Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 900k?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $431.63

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $418.17

No position

Will a Republican win Maine Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $395.45

Yes position

Is there more than 147341858 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $391.96

No position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $382.16

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $377.42

Yes position

Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $375.99

Yes position

Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $350.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $430B and $435B on January 31

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $336.31

No position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $334.18

Yes position

Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $311.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98.3% 1,000 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

No 98.8% 250 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

No 98.8% 750 shares
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 73.4% 107.07 shares
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 16% 107.08 shares
Iran leadership change by June 30?

No 97.6% 299.47 shares
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?

No 99.1% 838.81 shares
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

No 97.5% 1,000 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

No 94% 1,000 shares
Trump out as President by June 30?

No 98.9% 350 shares
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

No 96.9% 42.95 shares
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

No 93.9% 1,500 shares