Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $10.88K
- Potential payout
- $87.41K
- Potential profit
- $76.52K
- Multiplier
- 8.03x
- User PnL
- -$2.94K
Polymarket Trader
no-cry-in-casino
0x8506d66c17dbe55b919d30a2807b6822b60410ea
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $24.33K
- Realized PnL
- $11.45K
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.6%
- Current value
- $12.86K
- Potential payout
- $59.69K
- Potential profit
- $46.82K
- Multiplier
- 4.64x
- User PnL
- $3.35K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $37.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.96K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $12.5
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $165.22
- Potential payout
- $734.32
- Potential profit
- $569.1
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$344.28
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.8%
- Current value
- $245.69
- Potential payout
- $649.96
- Potential profit
- $404.28
- Multiplier
- 2.65x
- User PnL
- -$118.79
Yes position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $98.46
- Potential payout
- $386.11
- Potential profit
- $287.65
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$176.3
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $41.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $158.7
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- -$32.7
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$19
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.04K
Yes position
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.71K
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $864.46
Yes position
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $468.85
Yes position
Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $255.49
No position
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.13
No position
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.5
Yes position
Will State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $179.2
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.97
Yes position
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.95
No position
Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
Yes position
Will Bank of New York Mellon (BK) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.08
No position
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.33
No position
Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.9
Yes position
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $7.28
Yes position
Over $2M committed to the Trove public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.51
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes 67% 45.19 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes 70% 643.95 shares
- OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes 71.7% 340.92 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 15.9% 1,751.02 shares
- Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?Yes 99.8% 192.39 shares
- Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes 87.3% 122.09 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?No 99.8% 19,900 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No 99.8% 5,000 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?No 99.9% 20,009 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No 99.8% 20,000 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?No 99.8% 100 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No 99.9% 25,000 shares