Polymarket Trader

0x8508f4b41F9C6D636043B2c058acaAc79Ea99fda-1765369540606

0x8508f4b41f9c6d636043b2c058acaac79ea99fda

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $1.79K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $1.71K
Potential payout: $21.02K
Potential profit: $19.31K
Multiplier: 12.27x
User PnL: $63.43

Yes position

Will XRP reach $2.80 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.21K
Potential profit: $5.21K
User PnL: -$92.68

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $66.93
Potential payout: $4.32K
Potential profit: $4.25K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$46.7

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.74K
Potential profit: $2.74K
User PnL: -$49.54

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.68K
Potential profit: $1.68K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.28
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.14K
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$12.72

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$12.5

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $666.67
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $637.36
Potential profit: $637.36
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $460.78
Potential profit: $460.78
User PnL: -$6.5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $417.1
Potential profit: $417.1
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.34
Potential profit: $333.34
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $294.12
Potential profit: $294.12
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 4, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $261.5
Potential profit: $261.5
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $234.38
Potential profit: $234.38
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.62
Potential profit: $222.62
User PnL: -$3.72

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.57
Potential profit: $178.57
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $133.33
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.79
Potential profit: $118.79
User PnL: -$3.92

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $110.61
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.92
Potential payout: $78.53
Potential profit: $76.61
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

Yes 2.5% 78.53 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.8% 2,500 shares
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Yes 7.1% 1,106.51 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.4% 1,776.67 shares
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Yes 6.9% 684.44 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.4% 41.67 shares
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 1.3% 1,140.83 shares
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Yes 7.8% 230.45 shares
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Yes 8.2% 960.21 shares
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Yes 7.8% 742.43 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?

Yes 12.1% 131.57 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?

Yes 3.8% 131.58 shares