No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.12K
- Potential profit
- $54.12K
- User PnL
- -$164.97
Polymarket Trader
0x850a86CF098f2A39e05baEE1Cf66625239ca285C-1774909205207
0x850a86cf098f2a39e05baee1cf66625239ca285c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $248.12
- Realized PnL
- -$72.23
- Win rate
- 42.9%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.26K
- Potential profit
- $4.26K
- User PnL
- -$21.7
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $67.96
- Potential payout
- $543.67
- Potential profit
- $475.71
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$99.24
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $123.93
- Potential payout
- $144.95
- Potential profit
- $21.02
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $30.86
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92.53
- Potential profit
- $92.53
- User PnL
- -$61.07
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $56.23
- Potential payout
- $62.13
- Potential profit
- $5.9
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $14.6
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.27
- Potential profit
- $33.27
- User PnL
- -$11.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.13
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.4
Yes position
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.82
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Military action against Iran ends by June 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.9
No position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$41.22
No position
Military action against Iran ends by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$60.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 69% 123.24 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 0.2% 4,440 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 0.2% 13,333.33 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 0.2% 14,800 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?No 91% 67 shares
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?No 14.3% 517.06 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 0.3% 18,000 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 0.6% 3,485 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?No 0.4% 4,228.57 shares
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?No 26% 313.73 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 30% 338.98 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?No 12% 10.43 shares