Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $4.96K
- Potential payout
- $52.17K
- Potential profit
- $47.21K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$4.96K
Polymarket Trader
Shark13
0x850d81cf29cd29c218a6f1b4e57c80679495aae1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.92K
- Realized PnL
- $31.84K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $12.96K
- Potential payout
- $41.15K
- Potential profit
- $28.19K
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$3.36K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $9.56K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.38K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.05K
No position
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82K
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27K
Yes position
James Comey arrested by April 29?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
Yes position
Trump negative approval before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $922.81
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $716.1
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $559.74
Yes position
Will Trump say 'crypto' or 'Bitcoin' during the 2025 State of the Union?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $389.67
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $309.59
No position
Trump negative approval before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $289.33
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.67
Yes position
Will Trump list MS-13 as a terrorist organization before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.22
Yes position
Will Trump list Los Zetas as a terrorist organization before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.57
Yes position
Will Trump list the Jalisco New Generation Cartel (CJNG) as a terrorist organization before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.48
Yes position
Will Trump list the Tren de Aragua as a terrorist organization before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump list the Gulf Cartel as a terrorist organization before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.41
Yes position
Trump negative approval by Friday?
Ends Mar 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$19.53
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$32.16
No position
Will Nancy Pelosi applaud during Trump's address to Congress?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$494.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 50.4% 12,475.83 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 61.8% 6,004.37 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 41.2% 10,169.2 shares
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?No 65.2% 9,029.56 shares
- Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No 93.5% 9,373.11 shares
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?No 70% 22.29 shares
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?No 70% 8,915.39 shares
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?No 62.3% 5,361.62 shares
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?No 70.1% 8,568.58 shares
- Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No 91.2% 1,503.75 shares
- Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No 90% 7,869.36 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes 42.4% 10,904.08 shares