Polymarket Trader

0x8516...d656

0x8516ef3fb2ec5a362d996596e0bdc1cb8491d656

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $201.16
Realized PnL: $345.55
Win rate: 78.6%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $201.16
Potential payout: $232.56
Potential profit: $31.4
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $1.16

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.93
Potential profit: $163.93
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190.22

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.27

Yes position

Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.64

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.97

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.83

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.79

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.13

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.54

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.17

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.64

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$5.28

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$141.48

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$156.21

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 61% 163.93 shares
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 2% 379.45 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 98.2% 787.44 shares
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 39.3% 379.46 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Yes 73.8% 634.27 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Yes 74.6% 634.28 shares
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Yes 80% 951.1 shares
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Yes 14.1% 261.21 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Yes 70% 208.33 shares
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Yes 73.9% 261.22 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Yes 48% 208.33 shares
Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 88% 107.36 shares