Polymarket Trader

0x8520ED009345a76E60e16D055Fdc4E7400e7FCa5-1765174534804

0x8520ed009345a76e60e16d055fdc4e7400e7fca5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.14
Realized PnL: $18.03
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 2
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the US strike another country first?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $239.93
Potential profit: $239.93
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.94
Potential profit: $51.94
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $3.09
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $42.36
Multiplier: 14.71x
User PnL: -$1.91

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $2.05
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $43.41
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$2.95

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.38
Potential profit: $34.38
User PnL: -$11

No position

Will "Crazy" be said 15+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 25)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.26
Potential profit: $32.26
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.73
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.83
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for The Netherlands by Feburary 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Norway by Feburary 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.52
Potential profit: $15.52
User PnL: -$5

Bitcoin position

Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.3
Potential profit: $13.3
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.45
Potential profit: $12.45
User PnL: -$4.98

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $10.64
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.67

Yes position

Will Russia capture Zarichne by February 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?

Yes 32% 34.38 shares
Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?

Yes 40% 12.45 shares
Will Russia capture Zarichne by February 28, 2026?

Yes 44% 11.36 shares
Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?

Bitcoin 37.6% 13.3 shares
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?

Yes 23% 21.74 shares
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

Yes 11% 45.45 shares
Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for The Netherlands by Feburary 1?

Yes 26% 19.23 shares
Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Norway by Feburary 1?

Yes 32.2% 15.52 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Yes 47% 10.64 shares
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Yes 28.9% 51.94 shares
Will the US strike another country first?

Yes 2.1% 239.93 shares
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.2% 2,500 shares