TianSgg02

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $303.44
Potential payout: $335.29
Potential profit: $31.85
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $17.44

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $199.89
Potential payout: $213.9
Potential profit: $14.01
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.11

No position

Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $50.57
Potential payout: $56.82
Potential profit: $6.25
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.97
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.99
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.99
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.97
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.85
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.99
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Ali Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Implied probability: 83.7%
Current value: $4.18
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.82
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $4.14

Yes position

Will Meituan have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.5
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.91
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.98
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.99
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.97
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.99
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.94
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.94
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.98
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.99
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.99
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Top Esports position

LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.07

Anyones Legend position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.81

Anyones Legend position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.97

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.96

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.87

Top Esports position

LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.61

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.22

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.1

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Implied probability: 36.5%
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $2.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.43

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Implied probability: 93.8%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 8?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.5

EDward Gaming position

LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be 74°F or higher on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?