Polymarket Trader

0x8535C3770Bbd06CC7c60D673D8fC00DE854c7e37-1730333492387

0x8535c3770bbd06cc7c60d673d8fc00de854c7e37

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $46.78
Realized PnL: $231.31
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2300 on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $528.92
Potential profit: $528.92
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $105K on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $10.26
Potential payout: $157.89
Potential profit: $147.63
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$19.74

Yes position

Will Chow Hang‑tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1

Commanders position

Seahawks vs. Commanders

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.27
Potential profit: $77.27
User PnL: -$8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.71
Potential profit: $67.71
User PnL: -$4.99

No position

Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.16
Potential profit: $61.16
User PnL: -$20

No position

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $36.52
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $1.94
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $11.52

Yes position

Will Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $25.64
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.31
Potential profit: $23.31
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on October 31?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.73
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Chloe Kim (USA) win the gold medal for Snowboard Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.65
Potential profit: $22.65
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.75
Potential profit: $21.75
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on November 12?

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.2
Potential profit: $10.2
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump say "News" or "Media" 10+ times during "60 Minutes" on November 2?

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110K and $112K on September 10?

Ends Sep 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5.8

Steelers position

Steelers vs. Chargers

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.59
Potential profit: $6.59
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Joe Biden say "Tariff" during his appearance at the Ben Nelson Gala on November 7?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $4.17
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the number of federal employees decrease by 25,000-50,000 between December and June?

Ends Jul 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $51.35

No position

Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?

Ends Dec 17, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.1

Yes position

Will $Mog be listed first on Coinbase?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.8

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.09

Seahawks position

Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.28

Yes position

Will Trump say "God" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.81

Houston position

Houston vs. UCF

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.34

No position

Will Trump's hush money conviction be overturned?

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.39

Yes position

Will "Sinners" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.07

Yes position

Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.33

No position

Trump x Elon space tonight?

Ends Nov 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.56

Yes position

Will All the Empty Rooms win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.48

Yes position

Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.42

Yes position

Will Trump say "Proxy" or "Hezbollah" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.63

No position

Will Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44

Yes position

Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.34

Yes position

Will $HAWK FDV be $10,000,000-$20,000,000 one day after launch?

Ends Dec 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.94

Yes position

Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

No position

Will Trump say "AOC" or "Crockett" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $100,000 and $102,000 on November 13?

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.14

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?

No 65% 38.46 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Up 57% 8.77 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 19% 157.89 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Up 86% 9.82 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Up 49% 9.83 shares
Will Trump say "God" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?

Yes 99% 10.42 shares
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?

Yes 7% 8.33 shares
Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation?

Yes 10% 21.73 shares
Will Trump say "God" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?

Yes 81.6% 10.41 shares
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?

Yes 99.9% 16.43 shares
Will Trump say "Proxy" or "Hezbollah" during Address to the Nation?

Yes 99.9% 13.88 shares
Will Trump say "God" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?

Yes 48% 20.83 shares