Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $650
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $19.35K
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- $190
Polymarket Trader
TheArchitect76
0x854dd4db9230143f19bccfd6850aacb6facbdeb0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $24.15K
- Realized PnL
- $74.13K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $13.41K
- Potential payout
- $15.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.74K
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $3.41K
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.9%
- Current value
- $9.78K
- Potential payout
- $11K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $868.99
Yes position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Current value
- $312.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.69K
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- -$645.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.55K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.36K
No position
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8K
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.71K
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.59K
No position
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.51K
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.28K
No position
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89K
Yes position
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13K
No position
Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93K
Yes position
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69K
No position
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-15?
Ends Dec 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64K
No position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Yes position
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
No position
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
No position
Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2025-12-18?
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
No position
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $975
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $932.79
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 33% 97.89 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.3% 20,000 shares
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 81% 183.01 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 64.1% 10,000 shares
- Will Valencia Basket win the 2025-26 Euroleague?Yes 18.9% 194.75 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 32.8% 10,000 shares
- Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 63% 27 shares
- Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 28.8% 2,000 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?Yes 56% 289.7 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?No 47% 2,127.66 shares
- Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?Yes 31.8% 2,371.72 shares
- Starmer out by April 30, 2026?No 94.9% 725.78 shares