Polymarket Trader

0x8576...f4bf

0x85763ba5d153c6555295e782aa774ed59253f4bf

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $19.17
Realized PnL: $1.78
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.33
Potential payout: $2.66K
Potential profit: $2.66K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.75
Potential payout: $1.83K
Potential profit: $1.83K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.02
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.35K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.7
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.13K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3.36
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: $0.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.32
Potential payout: $879
Potential profit: $877.68
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.16
Potential payout: $771.02
Potential profit: $769.86
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $626.25
Potential profit: $625.31
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $623.34
Potential profit: $623.03
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.79
Potential payout: $526.2
Potential profit: $525.41
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.16
Potential payout: $388.21
Potential profit: $387.05
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $333.84
Potential profit: $332.67
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $64.64
Potential profit: $64.61
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $35.09
Potential profit: $34.69
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $0.72
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $12.28
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: $0.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 4.4%
Multiplier: 22.73x
User PnL: $1.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$1.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 1.7% 20.28 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 2% 32.72 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 2.1% 88.32 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 0.5% 71.75 shares
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 73 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 1,109.13 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 3.1% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 1.4% 22.96 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Yes 1.5% 17.4 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 0.5% 400 shares