N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$14
Polymarket Trader
Twin-Cholesterol
0x85936f5e0d0d5283b078467da8a73a0017504668
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $388.68
- Realized PnL
- $7.25K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $380.7
- Potential payout
- $5.08K
- Potential profit
- $4.7K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.24K
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $154.51
- Potential profit
- $154.51
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $118.99
- Potential profit
- $118.99
- User PnL
- -$38.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69.11
- Potential profit
- $69.11
- User PnL
- -$15.49
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $6.75
- Potential payout
- $64.29
- Potential profit
- $57.54
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$2.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.19
- Potential profit
- $62.19
- User PnL
- -$10.33
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $1.23
- Potential payout
- $27.27
- Potential profit
- $26.05
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.51
- Potential profit
- $22.51
- User PnL
- -$4.84
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.1K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250.28
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $233.97
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.04
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.68
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.52
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.29
Yes position
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.42
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.28
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.66
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.52
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.28
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes 14% 64.29 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes 26.8% 36.53 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes 52% 36.54 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.3% 6,400 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Yes 11% 27.27 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.5% 6,400 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?No 12.9% 45 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 59.3% 39.8 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 60% 10 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 65% 7.44 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 66% 15 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 67.8% 72.25 shares