Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $11.76K
- Potential payout
- $12.99K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.05K
Polymarket Trader
Mr-Krabs
0x8597ca63e722d6216bfc3057591fdc67ec49daee
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $75.12K
- Realized PnL
- $92.41K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.56K
- Potential payout
- $10.56K
- Potential profit
- $5.28
- User PnL
- $1.02K
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $8.7K
- Potential payout
- $10.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $928
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.23K
- Potential profit
- $9.23K
- User PnL
- -$6.61K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.5K
- Potential profit
- $7.5K
- User PnL
- -$7.01K
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $7.14K
- Potential payout
- $7.21K
- Potential profit
- $64.87
- User PnL
- $325.41
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $5.05K
- Potential payout
- $6.05K
- Potential profit
- $997.79
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $833.68
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $5.54K
- Potential payout
- $5.99K
- Potential profit
- $449.57
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $419.63
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $3.72K
- Potential payout
- $5.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $597.68
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $4.27K
- Potential payout
- $4.5K
- Potential profit
- $227.25
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $537.75
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $3.98K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $18
- User PnL
- $94
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $3.28K
- Potential payout
- $3.97K
- Potential profit
- $695.23
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $794.11
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.95K
- Potential profit
- $3.95K
- User PnL
- -$1.53K
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $62.43
- Potential payout
- $3.47K
- Potential profit
- $3.41K
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- -$3.19K
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $2.57K
- Potential payout
- $2.65K
- Potential profit
- $75.43
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $101.91
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $2.27K
- Potential payout
- $2.59K
- Potential profit
- $323.95
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $38.87
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $2.21K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $287.5
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $62.5
No position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.9%
- Current value
- $1.74K
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $154.48
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $54.1
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- User PnL
- -$398.44
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $931.65
- Potential payout
- $944.4
- Potential profit
- $12.75
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $59.02
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $738.89
- Potential payout
- $859.17
- Potential profit
- $120.28
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $26.08
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $591.93
- Potential payout
- $627.71
- Potential profit
- $35.78
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $59.63
Yes position
Tom Holland announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.25
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$24.25
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $80.35
- Potential profit
- $80.31
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$62.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.27K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.81K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.43K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4K
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.97K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.75K
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.66K
Yes position
Will the Black Woman statue be removed from Times Square early?
Ends Jun 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.65K
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.16K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.86K
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.52K
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.03K
No position
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.98K
Yes position
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.87K
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.71K
No position
Israel x Syria security agreement by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.54K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51K
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49K
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.31K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?No 71.7% 1,552.71 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?No 86% 239.79 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?No 73% 650 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?No 72% 722.14 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.3% 3,200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 89% 3,000 shares
- Iran coup attempt by June 30?No 98.2% 1,166.25 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No 86% 1,061 shares
- Iran leadership change by December 31?No 83% 3,000 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 98.4% 700 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 96.2% 5.84 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 88% 3,499.99 shares