No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $141.15
- Potential profit
- $141.15
- User PnL
- -$4.24
Polymarket Trader
dragonfly66
0x85994756da964381ba7e262e9acf9312d3b8ebe7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.21
- Realized PnL
- $263.22
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in July 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $43.75
- Potential profit
- $42.81
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in July 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $0.92
- Potential payout
- $36.21
- Potential profit
- $35.29
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in July 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $1.08
- Potential payout
- $25.16
- Potential profit
- $24.08
- Multiplier
- 23.31x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in July 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.1
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $1.86
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $10.14
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $11.96
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $1.24
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $6.76
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $0.76
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $7.24
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $0.93
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $5.07
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.1
- Potential profit
- $5.1
- User PnL
- -$2.65
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.7
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.03
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.7
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $1.07
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $1.94
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $1.05
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
No position
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $1.65
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.8%
- Current value
- $1.78
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $1.63
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.3
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.41
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in July 2026?Yes 2.9% 36.21 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in July 2026?Yes 2.4% 43.75 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in July 2026?Yes 4.2% 25.16 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in July 2026?Yes 5% 20 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?No 86.5% 2 shares
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes 14% 8 shares
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?No 77% 2 shares
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes 10% 10 shares
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes 14% 8 shares
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes 9% 12 shares
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?No 78% 2 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes 21% 5 shares