Yes position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.27K
- Potential profit
- $21.27K
- User PnL
- -$413.06
Polymarket Trader
aegis777
0x859d077ae3232fdecce2510dbcd1764cb51afccb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.06K
- Realized PnL
- $1.48K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $71.09
- Potential payout
- $6.18K
- Potential profit
- $6.11K
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$745.12
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.73K
- Potential profit
- $4.73K
- User PnL
- -$1.12K
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $696.53
- Potential payout
- $3.77K
- Potential profit
- $3.07K
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$68.52
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $27.19
- Potential payout
- $2.86K
- Potential profit
- $2.84K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$44.37
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $12.28
- Potential payout
- $2.46K
- Potential profit
- $2.44K
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$175.67
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $16.74
- Potential payout
- $2.09K
- Potential profit
- $2.08K
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$322.44
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.57K
- Potential profit
- $1.57K
- User PnL
- -$227.73
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- User PnL
- -$46.95
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $78.6
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- -$29.4
Yes position
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $9
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- User PnL
- -$10.56
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 6?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $993.5
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$153.5
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$90
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $6.77
- Potential payout
- $796.66
- Potential profit
- $789.89
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$165.63
Yes position
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $21.1
- Potential payout
- $781.36
- Potential profit
- $760.26
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- -$93.92
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $593.57
- Potential profit
- $593.57
- User PnL
- -$51.8
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $110
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $290
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$38
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $376.74
- Potential profit
- $376.74
- User PnL
- -$53.64
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $288.88
- Potential profit
- $288.88
- User PnL
- -$49.44
Yes position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $181.99
- Potential profit
- $181.99
- User PnL
- -$3.69
Yes position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $173.45
- Potential profit
- $173.45
- User PnL
- -$6.65
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100.02
- Potential profit
- $100.02
- User PnL
- -$26.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $484.56
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $342.26
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 2-8?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.45
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $109.1
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $66.08
Yes position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48.26
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $28.86
Up position
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.3
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.3
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.16
Up position
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.6
Up position
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 3?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.77
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $3.56
Up position
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.34
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 9-15?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 12?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.76
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66
Yes position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 0.5% 9,686 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Yes 2.6% 999.98 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?Yes 5.7% 1,564.53 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?Yes 11.7% 100 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?Yes 30% 100 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?Yes 34.8% 1,350.73 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?Yes 33% 213.8 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 1.6% 9,686 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes 4.5% 956 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes 9% 73 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?Yes 9% 72.55 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 0.9% 8,586.93 shares