Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $350
- User PnL
- -$50
Polymarket Trader
Willowdew
0x859ed7d6ce50dea46ec3d9f7aabfd64bfbfeea9b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.61
- Realized PnL
- $45.35
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.8
- Potential profit
- $90.8
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $16.61
- Potential payout
- $19.54
- Potential profit
- $2.93
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.31
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $19.21
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by April 30?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will DeepSeek have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Under position
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$8.92
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 87% 19.54 shares
- South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5Under 56% 1,866.07 shares
- Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?No 97.9% 15.18 shares
- Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?No 98.8% 15.18 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?No 98.6% 74.04 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETDown 14.3% 350 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?Yes 7% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?Yes 9.9% 90.8 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?Yes 86% 100 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 71.4% 186.59 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 76.1% 186.6 shares
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 84.8% 169.21 shares