Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $2.02K
- Potential payout
- $9K
- Potential profit
- $6.97K
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$184.99
Polymarket Trader
LJa7io23MCv954j
0x85a85805bcbdf2e629788adac1420b6b53949281
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $63.96K
- Realized PnL
- -$115.2
- Win rate
- 57.1%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.9%
- Current value
- $7.22K
- Potential payout
- $8.22K
- Potential profit
- $998.25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$130.87
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $2.47K
- Potential payout
- $6.78K
- Potential profit
- $4.31K
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$523.82
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $6.31K
- Potential payout
- $6.55K
- Potential profit
- $239.18
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $159.11
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $5.84K
- Potential payout
- $6.28K
- Potential profit
- $439.55
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $109.14
N
No position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $5.44K
- Potential payout
- $6.18K
- Potential profit
- $741.38
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$15.17
No position
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $5.05K
- Potential payout
- $5.71K
- Potential profit
- $656.65
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $109.33
No position
Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $5.04K
- Potential payout
- $5.45K
- Potential profit
- $408.42
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $287.64
No position
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.02K
- Potential profit
- $5.02K
- User PnL
- -$3.24K
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.23
- Potential payout
- $4.47K
- Potential profit
- $4.46K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$37.98
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $3.67K
- Potential payout
- $4.27K
- Potential profit
- $597.87
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $395.16
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $3.79K
- Potential payout
- $3.92K
- Potential profit
- $125.31
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $139.65
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.92K
- Potential profit
- $3.92K
- User PnL
- -$3.35K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.76K
- Potential profit
- $3.76K
- User PnL
- -$2.3K
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $2.63K
- Potential payout
- $2.81K
- Potential profit
- $182.81
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $154.69
No position
US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $2.19K
- Potential payout
- $2.4K
- Potential profit
- $203.74
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $127.17
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $2.3K
- Potential payout
- $2.33K
- Potential profit
- $32.63
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $171.17
No position
Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $2.11K
- Potential payout
- $2.18K
- Potential profit
- $74.2
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $185.28
No position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $2.08K
- Potential payout
- $2.13K
- Potential profit
- $55.42
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $120.62
No position
Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $1.29K
- Potential payout
- $1.48K
- Potential profit
- $192.5
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $10.4
Yes position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $1.34K
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $109.03
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $51.51
No position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $779.59
- Potential payout
- $1.27K
- Potential profit
- $488.04
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $38.71
No position
Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $1.23K
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $14.96
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $45.97
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $1.14K
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $66.45
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $18.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $342.29
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.19
No position
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $33.43
No position
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.84
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$624.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No 88.9% 3,265.16 shares
- Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 63% 200 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No 85% 60 shares
- Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 88.3% 1,399.21 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No 94% 942.29 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 92% 8 shares
- Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 88% 62.25 shares
- Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 53.1% 284.5 shares
- Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 80.4% 1,789.59 shares
- Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 85.1% 1,233.54 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 48% 625 shares
- Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 58.2% 429.36 shares