Yes position
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.58K
- Potential profit
- $1.58K
- User PnL
- -$500.01
Polymarket Trader
b4rbed
0x85b5359eb2ede6aa8c9c9b0ea01453da667c3c42
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $32.94
- Realized PnL
- $245.48
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Max Holloway position
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.92
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $18.24
- Potential payout
- $19.4
- Potential profit
- $1.16
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.26
No position
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $7.43
- Potential payout
- $7.66
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
Ends Jul 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $1.19
- Potential payout
- $2.77
- Potential profit
- $1.58
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
No position
Will Meituan have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.7%
- Current value
- $1.08
- Potential payout
- $1.24
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Y
Yes position
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1.16
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $0.93
- Potential payout
- $1.05
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will Baidu have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $1.03
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will Tencent have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $1.03
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will StepFun have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $0.65
- Potential payout
- $1.03
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
Will Tencent have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $0.64
- Potential payout
- $1.02
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Natus Vincere position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.67
Justin Gaethje position
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.24
Paddy Pimblett position
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.28
Natus Vincere position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
Sean OMalley position
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.29
Conor McGregor position
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will StepFun have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?No 97% 1.03 shares
- Will Tencent have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?No 98% 1.02 shares
- Will Meituan have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?No 99% 1.24 shares
- Will Baidu have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?No 97% 1.03 shares
- Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?No 95% 1.05 shares
- Will Tencent have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?No 97% 1.03 shares
- Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Yes 53% 2.77 shares
- Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?Yes 90% 9.79 shares
- Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Yes 86% 1.16 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?No 97% 7.66 shares
- Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?Yes 85% 9.61 shares
- UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Conor McGregor 36% 138.89 shares