Polymarket Trader

Capillatus

0x85bd6a676a1b399f849b22332b1f7eca15c87f75

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.61K
Realized PnL: $11.12K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $650.18
Potential payout: $788.09
Potential profit: $137.92
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $57.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 85.8%
Current value: $643.31
Potential payout: $749.78
Potential profit: $106.47
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$18.43

No position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $525.63
Potential payout: $687.1
Potential profit: $161.47
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $74.31

No position

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $644.98
Potential payout: $686.15
Potential profit: $41.17
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$2.35

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $537.63
Potential profit: $537.63
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $141.2
Potential payout: $470.66
Potential profit: $329.46
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: -$20.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $305.71
Potential profit: $305.71
User PnL: -$256.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $238.73
Potential profit: $238.73
User PnL: -$88.51

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $176.02
Potential profit: $176.02
User PnL: -$135.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $173.65
Potential profit: $173.65
User PnL: -$75.64

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155.37
Potential profit: $155.37
User PnL: -$51

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $141.67
Potential profit: $141.67
User PnL: -$85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $134.04
Potential profit: $134.04
User PnL: -$86.33

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.15
Potential profit: $118.15
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.21
Potential profit: $101.21
User PnL: -$51

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.51
Potential profit: $82.51
User PnL: -$43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.07
Potential profit: $61.07
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Lewis Hamilton achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.36
Potential profit: $60.36
User PnL: -$12.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.68
Potential profit: $59.68
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.15
Potential profit: $57.15
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53
Potential profit: $53
User PnL: -$42

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.8
Potential profit: $51.8
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will Mclaren Mastercard get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.08
Potential profit: $41.08
User PnL: -$9.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.9
Potential profit: $40.9
User PnL: -$37.59

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on February 11?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C or higher on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $811.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $766.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $637.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $560.97

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $533.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $428.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $420.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $366.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 16°C on April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $347.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $345.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $334.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $329.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on January 17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $318.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $304.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $297.37

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $282.42

Yes position

Will Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $267.21

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C on February 11?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $262.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $233.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $232.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216.28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 19?

No 95.5% 100 shares
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 19?

Yes 32.1% 200 shares
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 19?

Yes 37.3% 456.37 shares
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 19?

Yes 28% 214.29 shares
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 19?

No 92.5% 270.28 shares
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 19?

No 86.3% 579.5 shares
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5

Over 91.9% 652.64 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 18?

Yes 98.2% 50 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 18?

Yes 94.1% 381.2 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 18?

No 92.7% 405.7 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 18?

Yes 97.8% 306.88 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 18?

Yes 96% 67.68 shares