No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $1.41K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $590
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$170
Polymarket Trader
0x85c9419A5d7767DDe3321a1FfAA4BEc3A4108BeA-1734413804046
0x85c9419a5d7767dde3321a1ffaa4bec3a4108bea
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.29K
- Realized PnL
- $32.72K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $1.93K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $67
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $63
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $845
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $155
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $100.86
- Potential payout
- $106.17
- Potential profit
- $5.31
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $13.85
France position
WTT - Men's Singles: China vs France
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$30
Lin position
WTT - Men's Singles: Yun-Ju Lin vs Sora Matsushima
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75.66
- Potential profit
- $75.66
- User PnL
- -$45.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.71K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.78K
Yes position
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72K
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85K
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83K
Yes position
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Ends Oct 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41K
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $962.34
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $954.71
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $944.84
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $935.23
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $926.39
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $898.19
Yes position
Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $811.95
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $791.9
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $785
No position
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $770.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in July?No 83% 292.55 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 73% 100 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETUp 89% 28.09 shares
- Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?Yes 99.7% 177.63 shares
- Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?Yes 99.7% 543.47 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.5% 1,999.99 shares
- Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?Yes 96.3% 80.05 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?No 81% 480 shares
- Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?No 90% 42.82 shares
- WTT - Men's Singles: Japan vs ChinaJapan 0.2% 86.66 shares
- WTT - Men's Singles: Japan vs ChinaChina 99% 10 shares
- WTT - Men's Singles: Japan vs ChinaChina 99% 100 shares