Yes position
Will Gold close between $4000 and $4100 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$24.17
Polymarket Trader
Patrick.Tam
0x85d10f099ccdbcbb605f748c064d50035697ad51
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $28.7
- Realized PnL
- $477.41
- Win rate
- 71.4%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $28.7
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $111.3
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$45.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.2
- Potential profit
- $60.2
- User PnL
- -$23
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.11
- Potential profit
- $60.11
- User PnL
- -$14.2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Eagles win the NFC Championship?
Ends Jan 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $360
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.07
Yes position
Bitcoin above $97,000 on December 27?
Ends Dec 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6
No position
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.09
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53
Yes position
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during October press conference?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72
No position
Will the federal government be shut down for 4–9 days in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43
No position
Solana ETF approved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 23?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Ethereum all time high in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$4.02
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Yes position
Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.83
Yes position
Bitcoin above $100,000 on November 29?
Ends Nov 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$26.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?No 41% 175 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?No 88.2% 32.9 shares
- Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?No 53% 315 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?No 94% 56.55 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Yes 11% 150 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Yes 13.7% 150 shares
- Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 12% 97 shares
- Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 12% 150 shares
- Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 15.6% 247 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No 19% 186.5 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No 33% 186.5 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 68% 110 shares