Polymarket Trader

centrifuges

0x85d88b07d65fdfc39a80f43cbb6b42ff1a615d70

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $217.61
Realized PnL: $697.78
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $90.83
Potential payout: $107.55
Potential profit: $16.72
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$6.4

Yes position

Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $97.37
Potential payout: $102.93
Potential profit: $5.56
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$5.46

No position

World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $29.42
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.59
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.77

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $461.62

No position

Will Solana dip to $100 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.74

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.39

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.51

No position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.23

No position

Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.09

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.54

No position

Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.09

No position

Will Tennessee win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57

No position

Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

No position

Starmer out by May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in December?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in December?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?

Yes 99.9% 102.93 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 94.9% 102.55 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 90.4% 107.55 shares
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

No 95.5% 30 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

No 99.9% 220.71 shares
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?

No 99.7% 216.1 shares
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?

No 99.8% 215.45 shares
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Yes 98.7% 70.98 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in December?

No 99% 29.5 shares
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in December?

No 98.8% 35.06 shares
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

No 92% 68.85 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Yes 96% 63.62 shares