Polymarket Trader

0x04863

0x85da473a3c03bf44b823d2913e9d744ced8da99f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $3.3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.47K
Potential profit: $2.47K
User PnL: -$210.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.57K
Potential profit: $1.57K
User PnL: -$15.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $834.46
Potential profit: $834.46
User PnL: -$170.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $771.42
Potential profit: $771.42
User PnL: -$60

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $760.01
Potential profit: $760.01
User PnL: -$44.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $540.66
Potential profit: $540.66
User PnL: -$60.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.94
Potential profit: $499.94
User PnL: -$31.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $494
Potential profit: $494
User PnL: -$4.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $462
Potential profit: $462
User PnL: -$43.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $429
Potential profit: $429
User PnL: -$45.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $399.99
User PnL: -$60

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.94
Potential profit: $399.94
User PnL: -$59.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $375
Potential profit: $375
User PnL: -$35.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $375
Potential profit: $375
User PnL: -$50.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $375
Potential profit: $375
User PnL: -$57.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $374.92
Potential profit: $374.92
User PnL: -$59.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $334
Potential profit: $334
User PnL: -$45.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $334
Potential profit: $334
User PnL: -$46.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $316
Potential profit: $316
User PnL: -$47.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $316
Potential profit: $316
User PnL: -$50.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $316
Potential profit: $316
User PnL: -$60.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$60

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $299.99
User PnL: -$4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $281.23
Potential profit: $281.23
User PnL: -$3.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $450.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $299.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $255.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $255.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.84

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 30?

No 41.9% 10.52 shares
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 30?

No 93% 8 shares
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 30?

No 91% 10.52 shares
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 30?

No 7.5% 10.52 shares
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 30?

No 90% 10.52 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 30?

No 13.5% 10.52 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Down 99% 11.24 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Up 99% 110 shares
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?

No 61.4% 10.52 shares
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 28?

No 33.5% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 28?

No 86.7% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 28?

No 93.8% 10.52 shares