No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.7%
- Current value
- $2.59
- Potential payout
- $20.36
- Potential profit
- $17.77
- Multiplier
- 7.87x
- User PnL
- $1.59
Polymarket Trader
0x85dfe32E18C5B72bE0480dEc6B8d1C40284Aa30A-1782443152519
0x85dfe32e18c5b72be0480dec6b8d1c40284aa30a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.03
- Realized PnL
- -$0.53
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $2.46
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $5.23
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- $1.46
Yes position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $1.72
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $1.19
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1.1
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $1.06
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 26, 2026?No 8% 5.28 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 94.1% 1.06 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 17, 2026?No 13% 7.69 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?No 4.9% 20.36 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?No 84% 1.19 shares
- Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?Yes 58% 1.72 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 26, 2026?Yes 91% 1.1 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 26, 2026?No 18% 5.28 shares