Polymarket Trader

ScottyBets

0x85e4c8ee85015e6762df71cf81f54e5882cd681d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $538.42
Realized PnL: $114.95
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.6%
Current value: $248.39
Potential payout: $2.15K
Potential profit: $1.9K
Multiplier: 8.66x
User PnL: $48.39

Yes position

Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $1.19K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

ICE shooter charged by March 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$100

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270.27
Potential profit: $270.27
User PnL: -$100

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.57
Potential profit: $178.57
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.57
Potential profit: $178.57
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the US strike Iran next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $93.43
Potential payout: $163.93
Potential profit: $70.51
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: -$6.57

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $147.06
Potential payout: $147.06
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $97.06

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$34

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$69

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $49.55
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $41.36
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$35

No position

Will Barron Trump attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.82
Potential profit: $56.82
User PnL: -$25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.55

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump's tie be red?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.43

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 18.6%
Multiplier: 5.39x
User PnL: -$1.26

Yes position

Will Trump say "Somalia" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.14

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$175.13

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 9.3% 2,150.54 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

No 55% 90.91 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Yes 28% 178.57 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Yes 1.5% 444.5 shares
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Yes 8.4% 1,185.39 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

No 37% 270.27 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 56% 178.57 shares
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Yes 61% 163.93 shares
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes 34% 147.06 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Yes 34% 100 shares
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

No 69% 100 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Yes 41% 400 shares