Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $53.33
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $280
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- $3.33
Polymarket Trader
spaceduke
0x85f731b78bea325d99497f873fe4c308223ce8d9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $163.85
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $49
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $151
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $56.7
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $33.3
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $7.2
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $4.82
- Potential payout
- $87.66
- Potential profit
- $82.84
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$45.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No 55% 90 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 25% 200 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 57% 87.66 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes 15% 333.33 shares