No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $18.99K
- Potential payout
- $19.02K
- Potential profit
- $28.52
- User PnL
- $744.49
Polymarket Trader
AMX13
0x861307b57badefb591238c2148781e0728ee59f0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $24.87K
- Realized PnL
- $16.63K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $5.63K
- Potential payout
- $6.83K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $252.39
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.06K
- Potential profit
- $5.06K
- User PnL
- -$5K
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14.1%
- Current value
- $70.7
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $429.3
- Multiplier
- 7.07x
- User PnL
- -$29.3
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.9%
- Current value
- $63.33
- Potential payout
- $303.03
- Potential profit
- $239.7
- Multiplier
- 4.78x
- User PnL
- -$36.67
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $120.13
- Potential payout
- $129.87
- Potential profit
- $9.74
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $20.13
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $1.82
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $993.94
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $894.63
Yes position
Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $873.24
Phillies position
Mets vs. Phillies
Ends Sep 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $785.72
Yes position
Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $750.72
No position
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $709.73
Diamondbacks position
Diamondbacks vs. Twins
Ends Sep 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $682.46
Blue Jays position
Blue Jays vs. Reds
Ends Sep 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $671.99
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $662.19
Yes position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $584.99
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: September
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $545
Yes position
Will Canada recognize Palestine in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $541.13
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $523.04
Astros position
Astros vs. Braves
Ends Sep 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $495
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $487.66
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $463.3
Phillies position
Royals vs. Phillies
Ends Sep 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $452.63
No position
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin August 26-September 1?
Ends Sep 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $363.09
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $352.94
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $340.56
Royals position
Angels vs. Royals
Ends Sep 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $326.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 81% 1,825.63 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 98.1% 955.32 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 98% 1,919.07 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 98% 2,357.89 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 98% 632.1 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 95% 13,151.58 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 86% 3,735.99 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 96.7% 8,241.53 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 98.8% 5,061.74 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 94% 1,179.01 shares
- Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes 31.2% 1,266.78 shares
- Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes 32.1% 2,209.34 shares