No position
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $20.97
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.01
Polymarket Trader
CaffeineKing
0x861622e40533b5e15611a6b32c2ec95cc74884d3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $102.89
- Realized PnL
- $9.93
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.01
- Potential profit
- $15.01
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $14.85
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $14.85
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $14.99
- Potential payout
- $14.99
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $14
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C or higher on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $14
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $14
- User PnL
- -$13.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $14
- User PnL
- -$0.28
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $14
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $13.95
- Potential payout
- $13.95
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $13
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $12.98
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.98
- Potential profit
- $12.98
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $12
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $12
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $12
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $12
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $12
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will MrBeast's video get between 70 and 72 million views on day 3?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C or higher on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 99.9% 13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on June 29?No 99% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 28?No 99% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 27?No 99% 11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 26?No 98.9% 10 shares
- Mike Johnson out as Speaker by June 30?No 99.8% 21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 25?No 99% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 24?No 98.7% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on June 23?Yes 99% 11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 22?No 98.6% 15 shares
- Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?No 99.8% 35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 20?Yes 98% 14 shares