Polymarket Trader

Captain888

0x861670052c4087e19c04c61af56036c1f9d45dd4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $148.18
Realized PnL: $72.6
Win rate: 41.7%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $277.78
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.57
Potential profit: $178.57
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $9.92
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $156.75
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.2%
Current value: $27.92
Potential payout: $153.85
Potential profit: $125.92
Multiplier: 5.51x
User PnL: -$2.08

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 37.4%
Current value: $57.29
Potential payout: $153.37
Potential profit: $96.09
Multiplier: 2.68x
User PnL: $7.29

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $4.82
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $106.29
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$15.18

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $29.71
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $29.12
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $9.71

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 23.6%
Current value: $5.13
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $16.6
Multiplier: 4.23x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 10, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $8.77
Potential payout: $18.87
Potential profit: $10.09
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$1.23

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $1.76
Potential payout: $12.78
Potential profit: $11.02
Multiplier: 7.25x
User PnL: $0.76

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $0.89
Potential payout: $4.48
Potential profit: $3.59
Multiplier: 5.01x
User PnL: -$0.11

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $3.45
User PnL: -$1

No position

Trump declares election interference national emergency?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $1.96
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $0.54
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$0.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.41
Potential profit: $2.41
User PnL: -$0.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.14
Potential profit: $2.14
User PnL: -$0.98

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Chelsea FC vs. Páfos FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?

Yes 34% 58.82 shares
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 53% 18.87 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 23% 21.74 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 14% 178.57 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 32.6% 153.37 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.5% 153.85 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6% 166.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Down 56% 1.73 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Up 40.9% 2.37 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Down 46% 2.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Up 80% 1.23 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Down 49% 1.98 shares