No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.2%
- Current value
- $424
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.58K
- Multiplier
- 4.72x
- User PnL
- -$775.99
Polymarket Trader
0x8616...c877
0x8616b576bc41ed9eea12b9943bb3b2fe2aa2c877
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $2.55K
- Realized PnL
- $16.43K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $910.73
- Potential payout
- $1.46K
- Potential profit
- $546.44
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$89.27
Yes position
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $1.22K
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $74.87
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $215.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98K
No position
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81K
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8K
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
No position
Over $15M committed to the VOOI public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $801.5
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $631.46
No position
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $550.54
Yes position
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $402.38
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $333.95
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $316.23
No position
Over $20M committed to the VOOI public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $298.7
No position
Will Paradex launch a token by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $297.07
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $285.47
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $285.2
No position
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $272.97
Y
Yes position
Will Jordan finish last in Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $269.72
Y
Yes position
Will Haiti finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $251.08
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $224.89
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.07
No position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $207.15
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 68.6% 1,457.17 shares
- Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 93.3% 1,072.17 shares
- Will Jordan finish last in Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Yes 78.8% 1,269.72 shares
- Will Haiti finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Yes 79.9% 1,251.08 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.1% 1,204.81 shares
- World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?Yes 77.5% 1,290.81 shares
- Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 96.9% 1,241.62 shares
- Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 80.5% 1,241.62 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 99.8% 1,219.51 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 83% 1,204.82 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?No 82% 1,201.95 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 82% 1,219.51 shares