Polymarket Trader

Pondermint

@pondermint

0x8633c1c6844c5928b284a71e211584739474a08d

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $18.9K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $5.68K
Potential payout: $20.66K
Potential profit: $14.98K
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$1.67K

Yes position

Kash Patel out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $6.87K
Potential payout: $13.88K
Potential profit: $7.01K
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$3.7K

Yes position

Kash Patel out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $859.28
Potential payout: $12.28K
Potential profit: $11.42K
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$5.85K

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $349.69
Potential payout: $7.06K
Potential profit: $6.71K
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: -$1.43K

Yes position

Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $1.86K
Potential payout: $3.45K
Potential profit: $1.59K
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: -$877.44

Yes position

RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $924.19
Potential payout: $1.74K
Potential profit: $819.57
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: $374.45

Yes position

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $708.9
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $616.14
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $282.56

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $962.5
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $137.5
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $5.5

Yes position

Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $340
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $660
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: $33.24

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $139.87
Potential payout: $902.41
Potential profit: $762.54
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$22.76

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $51.91
Potential payout: $112.84
Potential profit: $60.93
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $1.24

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $29
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $71
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $40
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $60
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: $10

No position

Critical Discord Incident by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $75.51
Potential payout: $86.3
Potential profit: $10.79
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.29

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Yes 28.6% 45 shares
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Yes 33.9% 2,300 shares
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Yes 30% 672.83 shares
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Yes 30% 5,000 shares
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Yes 29.9% 5,000 shares
San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis Cardinals 97% 200 shares
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Philadelphia Phillies 92% 10.87 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

No 97.9% 10 shares
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 98% 102.04 shares
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 75% 200 shares
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

No 98.1% 200 shares
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Yes 96% 300 shares