Yes position
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.26K
- Potential profit
- $5.26K
- User PnL
- -$99.99
Polymarket Trader
0x863869491E86F51B125EE0826Fcadc2DDBe4c8E9-1760510028833
0x863869491e86f51b125ee0826fcadc2ddbe4c8e9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $22.18
- Realized PnL
- $1.52K
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $22.18
- Potential payout
- $1.53K
- Potential profit
- $1.51K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$84.91
Yes position
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $903.16
- Potential profit
- $903.16
- User PnL
- -$497.87
Yes position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $821.09
- Potential profit
- $821.09
- User PnL
- -$35.7
Yes position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $599.1
- Potential profit
- $599.1
- User PnL
- -$235.31
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $577.78
- Potential profit
- $577.78
- User PnL
- -$52
Yes position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $535.38
- Potential profit
- $535.38
- User PnL
- -$138.88
Yes position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$12B one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $402.59
- Potential profit
- $402.59
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $289.15
- Potential profit
- $289.15
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222.22
- Potential profit
- $222.22
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Charlie Kirk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $204.13
- Potential profit
- $204.13
- User PnL
- -$16.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $202.76
- Potential profit
- $202.76
- User PnL
- -$59.36
Yes position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $196.03
- Potential profit
- $196.03
- User PnL
- -$65
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $193.78
- Potential profit
- $193.78
- User PnL
- -$65
Yes position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $158.84
- Potential profit
- $158.84
- User PnL
- -$22.24
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $153.54
- Potential profit
- $153.54
- User PnL
- -$19.96
Yes position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $147.87
- Potential profit
- $147.87
- User PnL
- -$98.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.13
- Potential profit
- $90.13
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Galatasaray SK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85.71
- Potential profit
- $85.71
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.43
- Potential profit
- $67.43
- User PnL
- -$18.88
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $102,000 on October 18?
Ends Oct 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.53
- Potential profit
- $64.53
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.41
- Potential profit
- $27.41
- User PnL
- -$9.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.62
- Potential profit
- $22.62
- User PnL
- -$19.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $739.37
Yes position
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $159.71
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.25
Yes position
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.85
Yes position
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.84
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.57
Yes position
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.58
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.58
No position
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.55
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.16
Yes position
Will Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.93
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.86
No position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.28
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.84
No position
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ETDown 0.1% 472.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ETDown 1.9% 472.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ETDown 2% 451.82 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ETDown 24.8% 105.08 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ETDown 22% 90.91 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ETDown 24% 125 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETDown 27% 109 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETDown 32% 91.57 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ETDown 39% 51.28 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ETDown 47% 42.55 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ETDown 49% 37 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3PM ETUp 24% 34.48 shares