Polymarket Trader

gtowagger

0x86399b04e99f724993d559ca45b0354212c8fb86

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.07K
Realized PnL: $8.65K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $94.44
Potential payout: $11.11K
Potential profit: $11.02K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$5.54

Yes position

Trump out as President by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $109.92
Potential payout: $3.01K
Potential profit: $2.9K
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$312.07

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $155
Potential payout: $2.38K
Potential profit: $2.23K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$286.45

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $121.8
Potential payout: $2.03K
Potential profit: $1.91K
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$59.7

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $408.8
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.59K
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$89.2

Yes position

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $61
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.94K
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$83.98

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $87
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $513
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$27

Yes position

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $599.98
Potential profit: $599.98
User PnL: -$66.36

Yes position

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$7.2

Yes position

Trump on $250 bill this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $185
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $10.46
Potential payout: $110.14
Potential profit: $99.68
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$24.68

Yes position

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

Ends Jan 29, 2027

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $94
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$20.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.51K

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.24K

Yes position

US strikes Nigeria by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $714.9

Louisville position

Louisville vs. Virginia Tech

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $610.35

Oregon State position

Washington State vs. Oregon State

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $454.1

Panthers position

Panthers vs. Packers

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $348

Utah position

Cincinnati vs. Utah

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $270

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $267.48

49ers position

49ers vs. Giants

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210

Michigan position

Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.44

Tennessee State Tigers position

UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Tennessee State Tigers

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $197.78

Arizona State position

Arizona State vs. Iowa State

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.6

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152

Eastern Illinois Panthers position

Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140

Kent State Golden Flashes position

Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Akron

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.52

Yes position

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $130

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $127.48

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $119.65

Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks position

Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. Bradley Braves

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $117

Chargers position

Chargers vs. Titans

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116

Syracuse Orange position

Drexel Dragons vs. Syracuse Orange

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.64

76ers position

76ers vs. Nets

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.61

Yes position

Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 93m?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.16

Howard Bison position

Howard Bison vs. UNCW Seahawks

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.67

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 20% 500 shares
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?

Yes 2.4% 200 shares
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?

Yes 12.2% 132.8 shares
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?

Yes 2.4% 100 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 19% 600 shares
Trump on $250 bill this year?

Yes 10% 200 shares
Cavaliers vs. Knicks

Cavaliers 9% 400 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 24.9% 2,000 shares
Trump out as President by May 31?

Yes 0.2% 10,000 shares
Pistons vs. Cavaliers

Pistons 39% 100 shares
Thunder vs. Lakers

Lakers 26% 400 shares
Thunder vs. Lakers

Lakers 24% 400 shares