Polymarket Trader

11cc1

@elianitanarvaez

0x863aa79e6efd4643b9ddea526bdae3907356e428

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $299.38
Realized PnL: $683.7
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $647.95
Potential profit: $647.95
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $16.79
Potential payout: $377.36
Potential profit: $360.57
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$3.21

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $261.11
Potential profit: $261.11
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $217.39
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $215.6
Potential profit: $215.6
User PnL: -$20.46

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $209.57
Potential profit: $209.57
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $201.12
Potential payout: $203.67
Potential profit: $2.55
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.12

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.6%
Current value: $23.04
Potential payout: $124.22
Potential profit: $101.18
Multiplier: 5.39x
User PnL: $3.04

Yes position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.38
Potential profit: $121.38
User PnL: -$23.9

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $16.18
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $101.47
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$3.82

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.8%
Current value: $15.69
Potential payout: $106.38
Potential profit: $90.69
Multiplier: 6.78x
User PnL: $5.69

Yes position

Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.98
Potential profit: $96.98
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93.75
Potential profit: $93.75
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Sui reach $2.00 before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $26.56
Potential payout: $53.11
Potential profit: $26.56
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$21.78

Yes position

Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $37.04
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.79
Potential profit: $32.79
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on November 25?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.35

Yes position

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.89

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.43

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.34

No position

Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.58

Yes position

Ethereum above $3,000 on November 15?

Ends Nov 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.59

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.47

No position

Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.76

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.99

Yes position

Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.08

No position

Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 82%
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $19.12

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.01

No position

Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.64

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.33

No position

Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.71

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.06

Yes position

Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.81

No position

Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $6.75

Yes position

Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.45

Gold position

First to 5k: Gold or ETH?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.43

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?

Yes 77% 41.66 shares
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?

Yes 24% 41.67 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 26?

No 58% 86.91 shares
Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw?

Yes 4.6% 217.39 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98.2% 203.67 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 26?

No 56.5% 21.91 shares
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Yes 33.9% 29.5 shares
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Yes 4.6% 10 shares
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Yes 6.1% 81.97 shares
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Yes 6.1% 81.97 shares
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 13% 76.92 shares
Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 16% 31.25 shares