No position
Megaquake before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.12K
- Potential profit
- $7.12K
- User PnL
- -$6.72K
Polymarket Trader
Love.always.wins.over.hatred.and.envy
0x8642cd0a25d32679b4b6ba00cc3341dfd8f468d9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.71K
- Realized PnL
- $3.73K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.36K
- Potential profit
- $6.36K
- User PnL
- -$517.11
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $2.52K
- Potential payout
- $2.66K
- Potential profit
- $146.51
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $234.32
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $665
- Potential profit
- $665
- User PnL
- -$9.31
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $196.29
- Potential payout
- $226.92
- Potential profit
- $30.63
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $62.4
Yes position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Luis Arce win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.43
- Potential profit
- $57.43
- User PnL
- -$19.7
Yes position
Magnificent 7 shrinks below 25% of S&P 500 in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.67
- Potential profit
- $36.67
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.15
- Potential profit
- $23.15
- User PnL
- -$3.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $637.66
Yes position
New Pope in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $509.39
No position
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $430.98
No position
Megaquake in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $268.28
No position
Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.34
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $220.93
No position
Megaquake in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.18
No position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185
No position
Megaquake in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.12
No position
Italian Citizenship Residency Requirement Referendum
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.44
No position
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.83
No position
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.97
No position
Italian Employment with increasing protection Referendum
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.34
No position
Megaquake in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.06
Y
Yes position
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?
Ends Jun 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.66
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.64
No position
Italian small businesses – dismissals and related compensation referendum
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.5
No position
Will Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Sunday?
Ends Mar 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.75
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.95
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.5
No position
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.61
No position
Megaquake in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.4
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.2
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No 86% 2,584.8 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 92.4% 2,406.81 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 59% 226.92 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 43% 127.75 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 45% 127.76 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes 38% 78.95 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 63% 83.33 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No 46% 76.08 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 57% 77.72 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 36% 121.95 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No 46% 76.09 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 41% 121.95 shares